SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Lokomotiva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NK Lokomotiva | Draw | NK Istra 1961 |
40.61% ( 0.11) | 25.88% ( 0.05) | 33.5% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% ( -0.25) | 50.02% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28% ( -0.23) | 72% ( 0.23) |
| NK Lokomotiva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% ( -0.06) | 24.33% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.28% ( -0.09) | 58.72% ( 0.09) |
| NK Istra 1961 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% ( -0.22) | 28.37% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.88% ( -0.28) | 64.11% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Lokomotiva | Draw | NK Istra 1961 |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.61% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.51% |
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