SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Haifa | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
37.66% ( -0.05) | 26.22% ( 0) | 36.11% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.47% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.87% ( -0.01) | 51.13% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.02% ( -0.01) | 72.98% ( 0) |
| Maccabi Haifa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% ( -0.03) | 26.42% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.4% ( -0.04) | 61.59% ( 0.03) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% ( 0.02) | 27.32% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.23% ( 0.02) | 62.77% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maccabi Haifa | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.66% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 36.11% |
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