SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 71.74%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Beitar Jerusalem had a probability of 10.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Beitar Jerusalem win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
71.74% ( -0.18) | 17.38% ( 0.15) | 10.87% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.86% ( -0.6) | 41.13% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.47% ( -0.61) | 63.53% ( 0.61) |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.85% ( -0.2) | 10.14% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.64% ( -0.47) | 33.35% ( 0.47) |
| Beitar Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.46% ( -0.33) | 46.54% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.86% ( -0.25) | 82.13% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 2-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.33% Total : 71.73% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.79% Total : 17.38% | 0-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.16% 0-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.8% Total : 10.87% |
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