SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 14.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Hapoel Jerusalem win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | Hapoel Jerusalem |
65.29% ( -0.01) | 20.18% ( 0.01) | 14.53% |
| Both teams to score 49.65% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.2% ( -0.05) | 44.81% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.84% ( -0.05) | 67.16% ( 0.05) |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.08% ( -0.02) | 12.92% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.64% ( -0.04) | 39.36% ( 0.04) |
| Hapoel Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.02% ( -0.03) | 42.98% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.73% ( -0.02) | 79.27% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | Hapoel Jerusalem |
| 2-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 7.93% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.06% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 65.28% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.89% Total : 20.18% | 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 1.5% Total : 14.53% |
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