SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 14.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
64.16% ( -0.17) | 20.96% ( 0.18) | 14.88% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.01% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.54% ( -0.8) | 47.46% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.33% ( -0.75) | 69.67% ( 0.75) |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.92% ( -0.3) | 14.08% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.31% ( -0.6) | 41.69% ( 0.6) |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.89% ( -0.51) | 44.11% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.78% ( -0.42) | 80.22% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 1-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.8% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.53% Total : 64.15% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.79% Total : 20.96% | 0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.43% Total : 14.88% |
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