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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marine AFC win with a probability of 60.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marine AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marine AFC | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
60.55% ( -0.83) | 22.07% ( 0.23) | 17.38% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 49.99% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.32% ( 0.01) | 47.67% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.13% ( 0) | 69.87% ( -0.01) |
| Marine AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.7% ( -0.27) | 15.3% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.98% ( -0.5) | 44.02% ( 0.5) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.01% ( 0.73) | 40.98% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.46% ( 0.65) | 77.54% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marine AFC | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.21)2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.3% Total : 60.55% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.07% | 0-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.91% Total : 17.38% |
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