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National League North | Gameweek 21
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
2 - 1
Farsley Celtic

Sault (23'), Popoola (84')
Kirby (45'), Fitzhugh (48'), Popoola (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Atkinson (76')
Branson (28'), Atkinson (45')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Farsley Celtic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Buxton 2-1 Leamington
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.

Result
BuxtonDrawFarsley Celtic
61.29% (-0.628 -0.63) 22.71% (0.363 0.36) 16% (0.264 0.26)
Both teams to score 45.34% (-0.477 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.56% (-0.957 -0.96)52.43% (0.955 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89% (-0.828 -0.83)74.11% (0.827 0.83)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.31% (-0.54700000000001 -0.55)16.68% (0.546 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.44% (-0.989 -0.99)46.56% (0.98699999999999 0.99)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.42% (-0.215 -0.21)45.58% (0.215 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.61% (-0.171 -0.17)81.39% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 61.28%
    Farsley Celtic 16%
    Draw 22.71%
BuxtonDrawFarsley Celtic
1-0 @ 13.61% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 12.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.28% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.26% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.17% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 61.28%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.284 0.28)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 22.71%
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.188 0.19)
1-2 @ 4.2% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.35% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 16%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Buxton 2-1 Leamington
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-0 Buxton
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-0 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 3-1 Chorley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-2 Buxton
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 1-4 Chester
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 2-3 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gateshead 6-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, August 3 at 1.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-0 Buxton
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 3-1 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-0 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-0 P'boro Sports
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North


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