Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
Result | ||
Buxton | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
61.29% ( -0.63) | 22.71% ( 0.36) | 16% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 45.34% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.56% ( -0.96) | 52.43% ( 0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.89% ( -0.83) | 74.11% ( 0.83) |
Buxton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.31% ( -0.55) | 16.68% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.44% ( -0.99) | 46.56% ( 0.99) |
Farsley Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.42% ( -0.21) | 45.58% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.61% ( -0.17) | 81.39% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Buxton | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
1-0 @ 13.61% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.75% Total : 61.28% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.64% Total : 22.71% | 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.38% Total : 16% |
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