SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
57.36% ( 0.03) | 23.1% ( -0.01) | 19.53% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.65% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.22% ( 0.01) | 48.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.12% ( 0.01) | 70.88% ( -0.01) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.24% ( 0.01) | 16.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.31% ( 0.03) | 46.69% ( -0.03) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.84% ( -0.02) | 39.16% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.13% ( -0.02) | 75.87% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0)5-0 @ 1% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 57.35% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.1% | 0-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.4% Total : 19.53% |
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