Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 92.66%. A draw had a probability of 5.9% and a win for Mbabane Swallows had a probability of 1.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win was 0-3 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.29%) and 0-4 (13.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.62%), while for a Mbabane Swallows win it was 1-0 (0.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mamelodi Sundowns would win this match.