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CONCACAF Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 11, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer
IM

Monterrey
3 - 1
Inter Miami

Vazquez (31'), Berterame (58'), Gallardo (64')
Medina (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gomez (85')
Suarez (70'), Alba (74')
Alba (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Monterrey 1-1 Inter Miami (Monterrey advance 3-2 on aggregate)

Even the great Messi can only do so much, and though we expect him to play, he and his veteran teammates appear to be fatigued with the demands of MLS and this tournament. Monterrey have plenty of attacking depth, and being a goal up should allow them to hang back and counter effectively against a side like Miami, who have been vulnerable on the back end and leave plenty of gaps in between their midfield and defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 64.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
MonterreyDrawInter Miami
64.1% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08) 19.63% (0.080000000000002 0.08) 16.28% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 55.87% (-0.296 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.28% (-0.383 -0.38)38.72% (0.383 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.98% (-0.404 -0.4)61.02% (0.403 0.4)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.57% (-0.133 -0.13)11.43% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.78% (-0.286 -0.29)36.22% (0.28400000000001 0.28)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.08% (-0.239 -0.24)36.92% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.29% (-0.24 -0.24)73.7% (0.24000000000001 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 64.1%
    Inter Miami 16.28%
    Draw 19.63%
MonterreyDrawInter Miami
2-0 @ 9.93% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.116 0.12)
3-0 @ 7.18% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.15% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.88% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.69% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.68% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 64.1%
1-1 @ 9.12% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.63%
1-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 4.21% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.1% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 16.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-1 Monterrey
Sunday, April 7 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-2 Monterrey
Thursday, April 4 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Monterrey 0-2 Guadalajara
Sunday, March 31 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 1-2 Monterrey
Sunday, March 17 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 2-1 Cincinnati
Friday, March 15 at 2.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Monterrey 2-1 Mazatlan
Monday, March 11 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-2 Colorado
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-2 Monterrey
Thursday, April 4 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 NY City
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-0 Inter Miami
Saturday, March 23 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-3 Inter Miami
Saturday, March 16 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville
Thursday, March 14 at 12.15am in CONCACAF Champions League


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