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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Monterrey in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Monterrey.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Monterrey |
31.24% ( -4.15) | 25.08% ( 0.49) | 43.68% ( 3.65) |
| Both teams to score 56.05% ( -3.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.75% ( -3.39) | 47.25% ( 3.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.52% ( -3.23) | 69.48% ( 3.23) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% ( -4.15) | 28.47% ( 4.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.76% ( -5.53) | 64.24% ( 5.52) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( 0.27) | 21.64% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.24% ( 0.42) | 54.75% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Monterrey |
| 1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.65)2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.47)3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.69)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.51)3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.47)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.37)Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.24% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.83)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.44)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 1.34) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.38)0-2 @ 7.22% ( 1.08)1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.58)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.23)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.46% Total : 43.68% |
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