SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 16.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a CD Guadalajara win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monterrey | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
61.79% ( -0.23) | 21.71% ( 0.25) | 16.5% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.35% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.4% ( -1.1) | 47.6% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.2% ( -1.02) | 69.8% ( 1.02) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.13% ( -0.43) | 14.87% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.79% ( -0.83) | 43.21% ( 0.83) |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.97% ( -0.69) | 42.03% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.54% ( -0.6) | 78.46% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monterrey | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.38% Total : 61.78% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.73% Total : 16.5% |
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