SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest BATE Borisov win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Neman in this match.
| Result | ||
| Neman | Draw | BATE Borisov |
43.63% ( 0.06) | 26.97% ( 0) | 29.4% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.19% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.29% ( -0.03) | 55.71% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.14% ( -0.03) | 76.86% ( 0.03) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( 0.01) | 25.34% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.87% ( 0.02) | 60.13% ( -0.01) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.89% ( -0.06) | 34.11% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.2% ( -0.07) | 70.8% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Neman | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.63% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.4% |
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