SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Neman had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Neman win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Neman |
38.8% ( -0.02) | 25.21% | 35.99% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.95% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% | 46.68% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.06% | 68.94% |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.23% ( -0.01) | 23.77% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.08% ( -0.01) | 57.92% ( 0.01) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.7% ( 0.01) | 25.3% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.93% ( 0.01) | 60.07% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Neman |
| 1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.8% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.01% 2-2 @ 5.86% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.99% |
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