SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Neman had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Neman win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Neman |
49.05% ( -0.36) | 24.83% ( 0.17) | 26.11% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 53.39% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.85% ( -0.57) | 49.15% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.78% ( -0.51) | 71.22% ( 0.51) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.93% ( -0.38) | 20.06% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.7% ( -0.61) | 52.29% ( 0.6) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.79% ( -0.15) | 33.2% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.19% ( -0.16) | 69.81% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Neman |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.8% Total : 49.05% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 26.11% |
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