It is difficult to convincingly back either side to come out on top considering their respective poor runs of form, but Nice will be regarded as favourites on home soil and should find a way to claim three precious points against a Lorient side whom they have not lost against in their previous four meetings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
Nice	Draw	Lorient
59.46% ( 0.01)	21.76% ( 0)	18.78% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.68% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.9% (

-0.02)

44.1% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.52% (

-0.02)

66.48% (

0.02)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.55% (

-0)

14.46% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.59% (

-0.01)

42.41% (

0.01)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.74% (

-0.03)

37.26% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.96% (

-0.03)

74.05% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Nice 59.45%

Lorient 18.78%

Draw 21.75%

Nice	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.14% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.22% 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 59.45%	1-1 @ 10.28% 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.75%	0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 18.78%