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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Louis II.
LL

Monaco
2 - 2
Lorient

Mendy (27' og.), Fofana (60')
Minamino (54'), Zakaria (62')
Zakaria (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Singo (1' og.), Bakayoko (90+5')
Mendy (71')
Aiyegun (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 0-2 Lyon
Saturday, March 9 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 2-2 Lorient

Both sides will be desperate to get a result in this game as they find themselves in their own respective fights at opposing ends of the table. Four of the last six matches between these teams have ended as draws, with each side taking one win apiece in the remaining two. We expect this game to follow the trend of recent tight affairs and equal results and end all square after 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
MonacoDrawLorient
61.14% (0.058 0.06) 20.76% (-0.104 -0.1) 18.1% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 55.79% (0.456 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.32% (0.556 0.56)40.68% (-0.557 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.94% (0.568 0.57)63.06% (-0.569 -0.57)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (0.19199999999999 0.19)12.84% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.79% (0.392 0.39)39.2% (-0.393 -0.39)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.01% (0.38200000000001 0.38)35.99% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.23% (0.386 0.39)72.77% (-0.386 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 61.14%
    Lorient 18.1%
    Draw 20.76%
MonacoDrawLorient
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 9.73% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.66% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.49% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.42% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.043 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 61.14%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.05 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.76%
1-2 @ 4.95% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.035 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 18.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-1 Monaco
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 0-0 PSG
Friday, March 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-3 Monaco
Sunday, February 25 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 2-3 Monaco
Sunday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rouen 1-1 Monaco (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, February 8 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lorient 0-2 Lyon
Saturday, March 9 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Lorient
Sunday, March 3 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 0-1 Nantes
Saturday, February 24 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-3 Lorient
Sunday, February 18 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-0 Reims
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 1-2 Lorient
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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