Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Lorient |
61.14% ( 0.06) | 20.76% ( -0.1) | 18.1% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.79% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.32% ( 0.56) | 40.68% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.94% ( 0.57) | 63.06% ( -0.57) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.15% ( 0.19) | 12.84% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.79% ( 0.39) | 39.2% ( -0.39) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.01% ( 0.38) | 35.99% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.23% ( 0.39) | 72.77% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Lorient |
2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.5% Total : 61.14% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.76% | 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 18.1% |
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