SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 15.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Lorient |
63.81% ( 0.37) | 20.43% ( -0.05) | 15.76% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 51.85% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.58% ( -0.34) | 43.42% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.18% ( -0.34) | 65.82% ( 0.34) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.07% ( 0) | 12.92% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.63% ( 0) | 39.37% ( 0) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.55% ( -0.61) | 40.45% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.94% ( -0.56) | 77.06% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Lorient |
| 2-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 63.8% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.43% | 0-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.83% Total : 15.76% |
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