While Turkey proved the more potent attacking force in the group stage with five efforts compared to Norway's three, Basar's men conceded three times as many goals at the Scandinavians, who only let in two strikes in 270 minutes.
Calling an outright winner in this fixture is incredibly difficult, and penalties may very well be needed to decide both teams' World Cup destiny. Given Turkey's more ruthless attacking edge in the group stage, they have our vote to punch their ticket to the 2025 tournament in Chile.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway Under-19s win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Turkey Under-19s had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway Under-19s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Turkey Under-19s win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%).
