SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 52.48%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.45%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Harrogate Town |
52.48% ( -0.01) | 20.73% ( -0.01) | 26.79% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 68.61% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.55% ( 0.08) | 29.44% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.48% ( 0.1) | 50.52% ( -0.1) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.32% ( 0.02) | 11.68% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.24% ( 0.05) | 36.76% ( -0.05) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.68% ( 0.06) | 22.31% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.22% ( 0.09) | 55.78% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.46% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 3% Total : 52.48% | 1-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.73% | 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0)3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 26.79% |
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