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League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 1pm UK
CNG Stadium
BC

Harrogate
3 - 0
Bradford

March (21'), Thomson (73' pen.), Oyegoke (79' og.)
Dooley (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wright (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-0 Harrogate
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-1 Bradford City

With both teams not in form, this match is difficult to predict, but each side can throw caution to the wind with relegation not a concern. Given that Bradford have lost three games in succession, we are giving the nod to Harrogate, albeit in a hard-fought fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawBradford City
23.33% (0.029 0.03) 23.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 53.45% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.71% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.31% (0.034999999999997 0.03)44.69% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (0.031999999999996 0.03)67.06% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (0.043999999999997 0.04)33.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (0.049000000000003 0.05)69.74% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33% (0.0040000000000049 0)16.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)46.55%
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 23.33%
    Bradford City 53.45%
    Draw 23.21%
Harrogate TownDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 6.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 6.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 23.33%
1-1 @ 10.93%
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 9.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.62%
0-4 @ 2.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 53.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barrow 0-0 Harrogate
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 0-0 Harrogate
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-2 Crawley
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-1 Harrogate
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-4 Newport
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Walsall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 0-3 Notts County
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-5 Mansfield
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 0-2 Forest Green
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-3 Bradford
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Doncaster
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 0-1 Wycombe
Wednesday, February 21 at 8pm in EFL Trophy


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