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League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
SC

Notts County
1 - 2
Salford City

Crowley (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McAleny (31', 87')
Mariappa (49'), Hendry (54'), McAleny (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 0-3 Notts County
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Morecambe
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-1 Salford City

Both teams have made improvements to their performances in recent games, so they head into this fixture with confidence which should make for a closely-contested match. However, Notts County should have just enough quality to edge through this one as the Magpies are focusing on making a late promotion push. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.81%) and 1-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawSalford City
47.25% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 21.72% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 31.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 68.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.68% (0.02000000000001 0.02)31.32% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.24% (0.024000000000001 0.02)52.76% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.07% (0.018000000000001 0.02)13.93% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.6% (0.037999999999997 0.04)41.39% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)20.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 47.25%
    Salford City 31.03%
    Draw 21.72%
Notts CountyDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.56% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 3.7% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 47.25%
1-1 @ 8.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.94%
0-0 @ 2.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.72%
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.43%
3-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 31.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bradford 0-3 Notts County
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Notts County
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 2-1 Notts County
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-4 Sutton
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-3 Crewe
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Morecambe
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Stockport
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Salford City
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-1 Colchester
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 5-1 Salford City
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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