SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 49.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Polissya Zhytomyr |
23.8% ( 0.01) | 26.72% ( -0.01) | 49.48% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 45.74% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.91% ( 0.04) | 58.09% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.24% ( 0.03) | 78.76% ( -0.03) |
| Obolon Kyiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.86% ( 0.03) | 40.14% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.22% ( 0.03) | 76.78% ( -0.02) |
| Polissya Zhytomyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.41% ( 0.02) | 23.59% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.35% ( 0.02) | 57.65% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.7% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.94% 3-1 @ 1.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 1.34% Total : 23.8% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 13.67% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.88% ( -0)1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 49.47% |
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