SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Polissya Zhytomyr had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Polissya Zhytomyr |
45.41% ( 0.1) | 25.44% ( -0.04) | 29.15% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.72% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.22% ( 0.15) | 49.78% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( 0.13) | 71.78% ( -0.13) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.09% ( 0.11) | 21.91% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.83% ( 0.16) | 55.17% ( -0.16) |
| Polissya Zhytomyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% ( 0.03) | 31.2% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.46% ( 0.04) | 67.54% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.4% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 29.15% |
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