SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vorskla Poltava in this match.
| Result | ||
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
28.68% ( -0.63) | 27.28% ( 0.04) | 44.03% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 47.89% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.81% ( -0.4) | 57.19% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.95% ( -0.32) | 78.05% ( 0.32) |
| Obolon Kyiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.55% ( -0.7) | 35.45% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.79% ( -0.74) | 72.21% ( 0.74) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( 0.12) | 25.81% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.24% ( 0.17) | 60.76% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.05% Total : 28.68% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.18% Total : 44.03% |
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