Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 50.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Olot had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Olot win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.