Two of the last three La Liga matches between these two sides have finished level, and we can see the spoils being shared once again on Sunday. Sevilla have not actually drawn a league match since the end of September, but Rayo will fancy their chances of claiming at least a point when the pair lock horns this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
0.13) 
-0.03) 
