Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 62.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Las Rozas had a probability of 16.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Las Rozas win it was 2-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
