SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Omonia win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Vikingur Reykjavik had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Omonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Vikingur Reykjavik win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Omonia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Omonia | Draw | Vikingur Reykjavik |
37.2% ( 0.77) | 26.44% ( 0.46) | 36.36% ( -1.23) |
| Both teams to score 52.75% ( -1.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.95% ( -2) | 52.05% ( 2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.22% ( -1.75) | 73.78% ( 1.75) |
| Omonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.88% ( -0.5) | 27.12% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.49% ( -0.66) | 62.51% ( 0.66) |
| Vikingur Reykjavik Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% ( -1.65) | 27.61% ( 1.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.85% ( -2.17) | 63.15% ( 2.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Omonia | Draw | Vikingur Reykjavik |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 37.2% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.58)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.27)0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.92% Total : 36.36% |
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