SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vikingur Reykjavik win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for UE Santa Coloma had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vikingur Reykjavik win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 3-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a UE Santa Coloma win it was 1-2 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vikingur Reykjavik would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vikingur Reykjavik | Draw | UE Santa Coloma |
67.08% ( 0.32) | 17.7% ( -0.07) | 15.22% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 60.6% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.5% ( -0.2) | 31.5% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.03% ( -0.24) | 52.97% ( 0.24) |
| Vikingur Reykjavik Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.3% ( 0.02) | 8.7% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.06% ( 0.04) | 29.94% ( -0.04) |
| UE Santa Coloma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.37% ( -0.43) | 33.63% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.72% ( -0.47) | 70.27% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | Draw | UE Santa Coloma |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.94% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.47% Total : 67.08% | 1-1 @ 7.78% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.28% Total : 17.7% | 1-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.19% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.63% Total : 15.22% |
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