SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 59.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Ujpest had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Ujpest win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paksi SE would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paksi SE | Draw | Ujpest |
59.21% ( 0.57) | 22.21% ( -0.22) | 18.57% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 51.79% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.59% ( 0.41) | 46.41% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.3% ( 0.39) | 68.69% ( -0.4) |
| Paksi SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.69% ( 0.33) | 15.31% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.96% ( 0.62) | 44.04% ( -0.63) |
| Ujpest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.16% ( -0.16) | 38.84% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.43% ( -0.15) | 75.57% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paksi SE | Draw | Ujpest |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.2% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.21% | 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 18.57% |
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