Europa League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 6pm UK
Paksi FC Stadion
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bus (9'),
Lupu (45+2', 86', 90+3')
Sandu Maxim (52'), Alexandru Neacsa (86'), Bradu (89'), Manolache (90+8'),
Ubbink (90+8')
We said: Paksi SE 3-0 Corvinul Hunedoara
Following a strong campaign in the Hungarian top flight, Paksi will be confident of making relatively light work of second-tier opposition on Thursday night.
With a second leg at home to come later in the month, Corvinul need to ensure that they are still in with a chance after the first leg, but we believe that the Romanians are going to struggle massively on the road.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Corvinul Hunedoara had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Corvinul Hunedoara win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result |
| Paksi SE | Draw | Corvinul Hunedoara |
46.3% ( -0.01) | 24.79% ( -0) | 28.9% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.69% ( 0.01) |
| 52.87% ( 0.01) | 47.13% ( -0.01) |
| 30.63% ( 0.01) | 69.37% ( -0.01) |
| 79.58% ( 0) | 20.42% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.14% ( 0) | 52.85% ( 0) |
| 69.98% ( 0.02) | 30.02% ( -0.01) |
