Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 67.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Ujpest had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Ujpest win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.
