SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 48.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
48.92% ( -0.14) | 26.17% ( -0.01) | 24.91% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 48.3% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.7% ( 0.15) | 55.3% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.48% ( 0.12) | 76.52% ( -0.12) |
| Polissya Zhytomyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% ( 0) | 22.64% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.73% | 56.27% ( 0) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.43% ( 0.22) | 37.57% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.65% ( 0.22) | 74.35% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 1-0 @ 12.63% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.88% Total : 48.92% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.68% Total : 24.91% |
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