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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LNZ Cherkasy win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a LNZ Cherkasy win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LNZ Cherkasy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | LNZ Cherkasy |
32.55% ( 0.18) | 27.62% ( -0.22) | 39.84% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.49% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.82% ( 0.83) | 57.18% ( -0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.96% ( 0.66) | 78.04% ( -0.66) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.4% ( 0.55) | 32.6% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.86% ( 0.62) | 69.14% ( -0.62) |
| LNZ Cherkasy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( 0.42) | 28.05% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.29% ( 0.53) | 63.71% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | LNZ Cherkasy |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.55% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.83% |
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