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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 19
Mar 2, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
NSK Olimpijs'kyj

Dynamo Kiev
1 - 0
Chornomorets

Shepelev (38')
Brazhko (26'), Kabaiev (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gomes (78')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Dynamo Kiev and Chornomorets Odesa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Metalist Kharkiv 2-4 Dynamo Kiev
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Obolon 1-1 Chornomorets
Monday, February 26 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 17.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dynamo Kiev in this match.

Result
Dynamo KievDrawChornomorets Odesa
61.3% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 21.68% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 17.02% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 50.51% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.39% (0.007000000000005 0.01)46.61% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.3% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)14.7% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.11% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)42.89% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.22% (0.088000000000001 0.09)40.78% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.64% (0.077999999999999 0.08)77.36% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Dynamo Kiev 61.28%
    Chornomorets Odesa 17.02%
    Draw 21.68%
Dynamo KievDrawChornomorets Odesa
1-0 @ 11.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.03% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.29% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 61.28%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 21.68%
0-1 @ 5.38% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.62% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.41% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.38% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 17.02%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Metalist Kharkiv 2-4 Dynamo Kiev
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 2-0 Obolon
Monday, December 11 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 4-2 Metalist Kharkiv
Thursday, December 7 at 1.15pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 2-0 Rukh Lviv
Sunday, November 26 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 0-2 Dynamo Kiev
Sunday, November 12 at 11.30am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-1 Shakhtar
Friday, November 3 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Obolon 1-1 Chornomorets
Monday, February 26 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Chornomorets 1-0 Kovalivka
Sunday, December 10 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Chornomorets 1-3 Cherkasy
Sunday, December 3 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 5-2 Chornomorets
Monday, November 27 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Chornomorets 2-3 Rukh Lviv
Sunday, November 12 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Metalist Kharkiv 2-1 Chornomorets
Sunday, November 5 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League


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