Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.

Result
Puebla	Draw	Queretaro
43.1% ( 0.18)	26.34% ( 0.02)	30.56% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 51.66% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.19% (

-0.18)

52.81% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.57% (

-0.15)

74.43% (

0.15)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.69% (

0.01)

24.31% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.3% (

0.01)

58.69% (

-0.02)

Queretaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.25% (

-0.24)

31.74% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.83% (

-0.27)

68.17% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Puebla 43.1%

Queretaro 30.56%

Draw 26.33%

Puebla	Draw	Queretaro
1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 43.1%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.33%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.56%