Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 17, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio La Corregidora
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
| Result |
| Queretaro | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
32.29% ( 0.34) | 27.54% ( 0.02) | 40.17% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 48.65% ( 0.05) |
| 43.05% ( 0.02) | 56.95% ( -0.02) |
| 22.14% ( 0.02) | 77.86% ( -0.02) |
| 67.34% ( 0.25) | 32.66% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.8% ( 0.28) | 69.2% ( -0.28) |
| 72.24% ( -0.19) | 27.76% ( 0.19) |
