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Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Aug 17, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
1 - 2
Monterrey

Ormeno (82')
Orona (40'), Ferrareis (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Berterame (37'), Canales (55')
Cortizo (26'), Andrada (84'), Medina (90+5')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tigres 2-1 Puebla
Thursday, August 1 at 2.30am in Leagues Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 15.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Puebla win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
PueblaDrawMonterrey
15.4% (-0.71 -0.71) 19.63% (-0.249 -0.25) 64.97% (0.95999999999999 0.96)
Both teams to score 53.73% (-0.83300000000001 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.49% (-0.265 -0.27)40.51% (0.268 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.11% (-0.274 -0.27)62.89% (0.276 0.28)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.86% (-1.07 -1.07)39.14% (1.071 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.15% (-1.016 -1.02)75.85% (1.018 1.02)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.28% (0.182 0.18)11.72% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.15% (0.391 0.39)36.85% (-0.39100000000001 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 15.4%
    Monterrey 64.97%
    Draw 19.63%
PueblaDrawMonterrey
2-1 @ 4.33% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-0 @ 4.3% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.02% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.35% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 15.4%
1-1 @ 9.23% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-0 @ 4.59% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.63%
0-2 @ 10.54% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.83% (0.19 0.19)
0-3 @ 7.53% (0.251 0.25)
1-3 @ 7.07% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 4.04% (0.163 0.16)
1-4 @ 3.79% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.32% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.78% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.73% (0.082 0.08)
1-5 @ 1.62% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 64.97%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tigres 2-1 Puebla
Thursday, August 1 at 2.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Puebla 0-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 28 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Puebla 1-2 Atlas
Saturday, July 20 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-2 Atlas
Saturday, July 20 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Club Leon
Wednesday, July 17 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 4-1 Puebla
Sunday, July 14 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 1-1 Pumas (0-3 pen.)
Sunday, August 4 at 3am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Monterrey 0-2 Austin
Wednesday, July 31 at 2am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Monterrey 2-1 Queretaro
Sunday, July 21 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 0-1 Monterrey
Thursday, July 18 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 0-4 Cruz Azul
Sunday, July 14 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 0-1 Monterrey
Monday, July 8 at 2.06am in Liga MX


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