SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 58.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.87%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Puszcza Niepolomice win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Puszcza Niepolomice | Draw | Lech Poznan |
18.57% ( 0.17) | 22.95% ( 0.13) | 58.48% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 49.5% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.53% ( -0.31) | 49.47% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.49% ( -0.28) | 71.51% ( 0.28) |
| Puszcza Niepolomice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.36% ( 0.01) | 40.63% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.77% ( 0.01) | 77.23% ( -0.01) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% ( -0.22) | 16.61% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.57% ( -0.39) | 46.43% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Puszcza Niepolomice | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 18.57% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.95% | 0-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10.87% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.79% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.51% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 5.86% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 58.47% |
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