CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 7, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Independencia
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Real Estelí and Club America.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 88.99%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Real Estelí had a probability of 2.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-2 with a probability of 17.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (16.49%) and 0-1 (12.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (4.25%), while for a Real Estelí win it was 1-0 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result |
| Real Estelí | Draw | Club America |
2.21% ( 0.51) | 8.8% ( 1.2) | 88.99% ( -1.71) |
| Both teams to score 24.62% ( 2.24) |
| 61.13% ( -2.13) | 38.87% ( 2.13) |
| 38.81% ( -2.28) | 61.19% ( 2.29) |
| 26.13% ( 2.56) | 73.87% ( -2.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 3.75% ( 0.73) | 96.25% ( -0.72) |
| 94.25% ( -0.73) | 5.75% ( 0.73) |
