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Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Feb 4, 2024 at 3.10am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
1 - 1
Monterrey

Valdes (24')
Lichnovsky (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Canales (40')
Andrada (76'), Gallardo (90+1')
Moreno (90+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Necaxa 0-0 America
Sunday, January 28 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Club AmericaDrawMonterrey
47.37% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 24.99% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 27.65% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.16% (0.169 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.26% (0.2 0.2)48.74% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.15% (0.181 0.18)70.85% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (0.070999999999998 0.07)20.61% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.83% (0.111 0.11)53.16% (-0.111 -0.11)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (0.152 0.15)31.78% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.78% (0.173 0.17)68.21% (-0.173 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Club America 47.36%
    Monterrey 27.65%
    Draw 24.98%
Club AmericaDrawMonterrey
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.93% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 47.36%
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 27.65%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Necaxa 0-0 America
Sunday, January 28 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 0-2 America
Thursday, January 25 at 3.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-0 Queretaro
Sunday, January 21 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 0-2 America
Sunday, January 14 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Barcelona 2-3 America
Friday, December 22 at 2am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: America 3-0 Tigres
Monday, December 18 at 1.30am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 3-1 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, January 28 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 1-1 Queretaro
Thursday, January 25 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-2 Monterrey
Monday, January 22 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 1-1 River Plate
Thursday, January 18 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Monterrey 2-0 Puebla
Sunday, January 14 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 1-1 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, December 3 at 3.10am in Liga MX


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