Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Ross County win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ross County would win this match.
Result | ||
Ross County | Draw | Raith Rovers |
27.19% ( -0.06) | 25.22% ( -0.03) | 47.59% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 53.1% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.03% ( 0.09) | 49.97% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.05% ( 0.08) | 71.95% ( -0.07) |
Ross County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.22% | 32.78% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.66% ( -0) | 69.34% ( 0) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.99% ( 0.08) | 21.02% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.2% ( 0.11) | 53.8% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Ross County | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 27.19% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 47.59% |
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