Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Stranraer had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 0-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Stranraer win it was 2-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ross County would win this match.
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