As impressive as their triumph was against Toulouse, Rouen will be facing a side in Monaco that have a lot more firepower, and we do not believe they will be able to keep pace.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Rouen had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Rouen win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
-1.56) 
0.17) 
