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Saturday, December 21
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
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Marseille
2 - 2
Monaco

Aubameyang (38'), Balerdi (50')
Soglo (76')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ben Yedder (7'), Akliouche (45+4')
Zakaria (75'), Kehrer (82')
Maripan (11'), Zakaria (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Marseille (9-8 pen.)
Sunday, January 21 at 8.05pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Rodez AF 1-3 Monaco
Saturday, January 20 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Marseille 2-2 Monaco

Both sides have plenty of quality attacking pieces to count upon, and with many players away for each on international duty, we expect plenty of opportunities both ways. Strikers like Aubameyang and Ben Yedder do not miss their chances often, and we believe they will each have their share of them on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 53.39%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawMonaco
53.39% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.17% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 24.44% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.67% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.25% (0.026000000000003 0.03)38.74% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.95% (0.027000000000001 0.03)61.05% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.41% (0.01700000000001 0.02)14.58% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.34% (0.034999999999997 0.03)42.66% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.02%28.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13% (0.0019999999999953 0)64.86%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 53.4%
    Monaco 24.44%
    Draw 22.16%
MarseilleDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 9.7%
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 53.4%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.24% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 24.44%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Marseille (9-8 pen.)
Sunday, January 21 at 8.05pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Strasbourg
Friday, January 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Thionville Lusitanos 0-1 Marseille
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Marseille
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, December 17 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Marseille
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Rodez AF 1-3 Monaco
Saturday, January 20 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Monaco 1-3 Reims
Saturday, January 13 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco (5-6 pen.)
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Monaco
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Lyon
Friday, December 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Monaco
Saturday, December 9 at 4pm in Ligue 1


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