SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saarbrucken win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 38.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saarbrucken win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.29%) and 3-1 (4.81%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Saarbrucken in this match.
| Result | ||
| Saarbrucken | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
39.48% ( 0.06) | 22.24% ( -0.05) | 38.28% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 68.41% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.11% ( 0.29) | 31.89% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.56% ( 0.34) | 53.43% ( -0.34) |
| Saarbrucken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% ( 0.15) | 17.03% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.81% ( 0.27) | 47.18% ( -0.27) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.45% ( 0.13) | 17.54% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.92% ( 0.22) | 48.07% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saarbrucken | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.34% Total : 39.48% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.14% Total : 38.28% |
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