SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 86.68%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 4.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (7.83%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.32%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
86.68% ( 1.99) | 8.39% ( -1.17) | 4.93% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 58.03% ( 0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 83.88% ( 2.79) | 16.12% ( -2.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 67.66% ( 4.16) | 32.34% ( -4.16) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.55% ( 0.66) | 2.45% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 88.47% ( 2.35) | 11.52% ( -2.34) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.48% ( 0.37) | 40.51% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.88% ( 0.33) | 77.12% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 3-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.41) 4-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.3)4-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.82)2-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.67)5-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.47)5-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.47)1-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.72)6-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.5)3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.1)6-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.48)4-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.12)5-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.23)7-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.37)7-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.35)6-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.23)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 6.08% Total : 86.68% | 1-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.62) 2-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.25% Total : 8.39% | 1-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.26) Other @ 3.43% Total : 4.93% |
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