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DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Dec 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
W

Borussia M'bach
1 - 0
Wolfsburg

Kone (120')
FT
(aet)

Arnold (31'), Gerhardt (41')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We say: Borussia Monchengladbach X-Y Wolfsburg

Gladbach have already beaten Wolfsburg at Borussia-Park this month, and we think that the hosts will make full use of home advantage again to edge out die Wolfe and secure their place in the last 16 of the Pokal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawWolfsburg
44.77% (0.815 0.81) 22.34% (-0.191 -0.19) 32.88% (-0.627 -0.63)
Both teams to score 66.72% (0.476 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.4% (0.72199999999999 0.72)33.59% (-0.726 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.6% (0.82 0.82)55.4% (-0.823 -0.82)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.33% (0.586 0.59)15.67% (-0.589 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.3% (1.08 1.08)44.7% (-1.083 -1.08)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.11% (0.010999999999996 0.01)20.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.4% (0.021000000000001 0.02)53.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 44.77%
    Wolfsburg 32.88%
    Draw 22.34%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.07% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.44% (0.124 0.12)
3-2 @ 4.26% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.52% (0.106 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.068 0.07)
4-3 @ 1.03% (0.045 0.04)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 44.77%
1-1 @ 9.5% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.89% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.27% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-3 @ 2.22% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.34%
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-1 @ 5.12% (-0.194 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.6% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.41% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 32.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 4-0 Wolfsburg
Friday, November 10 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-1 Heidenheim
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 4-0 Wolfsburg
Friday, November 10 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-0 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, October 31 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Augsburg 3-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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