Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Wolfsburg |
44.77% ( 0.81) | 22.34% ( -0.19) | 32.88% ( -0.63) |
Both teams to score 66.72% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.4% ( 0.72) | 33.59% ( -0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.6% ( 0.82) | 55.4% ( -0.82) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.33% ( 0.59) | 15.67% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.3% ( 1.08) | 44.7% ( -1.08) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.11% ( 0.01) | 20.89% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.4% ( 0.02) | 53.6% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.07) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.04% Total : 44.77% | 1-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.34% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.8% Total : 32.88% |
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