Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 46.87%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Sant Andreu had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Sant Andreu win it was 1-0 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
